Tom Brady is the overwhelming favorite to win the 2012 Super Bowl MVP, but it is a horrible bet. At the unfavorable 13/10 odds, the payout simply isn’t rewarding enough to take the risk. 

There are far better plays available in what figures to be a thrilling game. Take a look at the odds, and then we’ll break down some of the wise and idiotic bets available. 

The Odds

Tom Brady 13/10
Eli Manning 5/2
Rob Gronkowski 8/1
Aaron Hernandez 15/1
Hakeem Nicks 15/1
Victor Cruz 15/1
Wes Welker 15/1
Ahmad Bradshaw 25/1
BenJarvus Green-Ellis 25/1
Jason Pierre-Paul 25/1
Deion Branch 30/1
Brandon Jacobs 35/1
Mario Manningham 35/1
Antrel Rolle 50/1
Danny Woodhead 50/1
Devin McCourty 50/1
Jerod Mayo 50/1
Kyle Arrington 50/1
Osi Umenyiora 50/1
Chad Ochocinco 100/1
Jake Ballard 100/1
Lawrence Tynes 100/1
Stephen Gostkowski 100/1
Field 18/1